This individual's Inspiration is generally highest after a daily total of 140 milligrams of Adderall Xr intake over the previous 7 days.
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Blue represents the sum of Adderall Xr intake over the previous 7 days
An increase in 7 days cumulative Adderall Xr intake is usually followed by an increase in Inspiration. (R = 0.564)
Typical values for Inspiration following a given amount of Adderall Xr intake over the previous 7 days.
Typical Adderall Xr intake seen over the previous 7 days preceding the given Inspiration value.
Correlation between outcome and aggregated predictor measurements over given number of days
Peak correlation suggests the delay between predictor and observable outcome
This chart shows how your Adderall Xr changes over time.
Each column represents the number of days this value occurred.
This chart shows the typical value recorded for Adderall Xr on each day of the week.
This chart shows the typical value recorded for Adderall Xr for each month of the year.
This chart shows how your Inspiration changes over time.
Each column represents the number of days this value occurred.
This chart shows the typical value recorded for Inspiration on each day of the week.
This chart shows the typical value recorded for Inspiration for each month of the year.

Abstract

This individual's Inspiration is generally 11% higher than normal after a total of 135 milligrams Adderall Xr intake over the previous 7 days. This individual's data suggests with a low degree of confidence (p=0.10846470184607, 95% CI -0.544 to 1.672) that Adderall Xr has a moderately positive predictive relationship (R=0.56) with Inspiration. The highest quartile of Inspiration measurements were observed following an average 124.09 milligrams Adderall Xr per day. The lowest quartile of Inspiration measurements were observed following an average 87.5 mg Adderall Xr per day.Inspiration is generally 13% lower than normal after a total of 87.5 milligrams of Adderall Xr intake over the previous 7 days. Inspiration is generally 11% higher after a total of 124.09 milligrams of Adderall Xr intake over the previous 7 days.

Objective

The objective of this study is to determine the nature of the relationship (if any) between Adderall Xr and Inspiration. Additionally, we attempt to determine the Adderall Xr values most likely to produce optimal Inspiration values.

Participant Instructions

Record your Adderall Xr daily in the reminder inbox or using the interactive web or mobile notifications.
Record your Inspiration daily in the reminder inbox or using the interactive web or mobile notifications.

Design

This study is based on data donated by one participant. Thus, the study design is consistent with an n=1 observational natural experiment.

Data Analysis

Adderall Xr Pre-Processing
Adderall Xr measurement values below 0 milligrams were assumed erroneous and removed. No maximum allowed measurement value was defined for Adderall Xr. It was assumed that any gaps in Adderall Xr data were unrecorded 0 milligrams measurement values.
Adderall Xr Analysis Settings

Inspiration Pre-Processing
Inspiration measurement values below 1 out of 5 were assumed erroneous and removed. Inspiration measurement values above 5 out of 5 were assumed erroneous and removed. No missing data filling value was defined for Inspiration so any gaps in data were just not analyzed instead of assuming zero values for those times.
Inspiration Analysis Settings

Predictive Analytics
It was assumed that 0.5 hours would pass before a change in Adderall Xr would produce an observable change in Inspiration. It was assumed that Adderall Xr could produce an observable change in Inspiration for as much as 7 days after the stimulus event.
Predictive Analysis Settings

Data Quantity
1460 raw Adderall Xr measurements with 388 changes spanning 2343 days from 2013-01-17 to 2019-06-18 were used in this analysis. 19 raw Inspiration measurements with 6 changes spanning 2051 days from 2013-08-30 to 2019-04-12 were used in this analysis.

Data Sources

Adderall Xr data was primarily collected using QuantiModo. QuantiModo allows you to easily track mood, symptoms, or any outcome you want to optimize in a fraction of a second. You can also import your data from over 30 other apps and devices. QuantiModo then analyzes your data to identify which hidden factors are most likely to be influencing your mood or symptoms.

Inspiration data was primarily collected using QuantiModo. QuantiModo allows you to easily track mood, symptoms, or any outcome you want to optimize in a fraction of a second. You can also import your data from over 30 other apps and devices. QuantiModo then analyzes your data to identify which hidden factors are most likely to be influencing your mood or symptoms.

Limitations

As with any human experiment, it was impossible to control for all potentially confounding variables. Correlation does not necessarily imply causation. We can never know for sure if one factor is definitely the cause of an outcome. However, lack of correlation definitely implies the lack of a causal relationship. Hence, we can with great confidence rule out non-existent relationships. For instance, if we discover no relationship between mood and an antidepressant this information is just as or even more valuable than the discovery that there is a relationship.
We can also take advantage of several characteristics of time series data from many subjects to infer the likelihood of a causal relationship if we do find a correlational relationship. The criteria for causation are a group of minimal conditions necessary to provide adequate evidence of a causal relationship between an incidence and a possible consequence.

The list of the criteria is as follows:
Strength (A.K.A. Effect Size)
A small association does not mean that there is not a causal effect, though the larger the association, the more likely that it is causal. There is a moderately positive relationship between Adderall Xr intake and Inspiration

Consistency (A.K.A. Reproducibility)
Consistent findings observed by different persons in different places with different samples strengthens the likelihood of an effect. Furthermore, in accordance with the law of large numbers (LLN), the predictive power and accuracy of these results will continually grow over time. 17 paired data points were used in this analysis. Assuming that the relationship is merely coincidental, as the participant independently modifies their Adderall Xr intake values, the observed strength of the relationship will decline until it is below the threshold of significance. To it another way, in the case that we do find a spurious correlation, suggesting that banana intake improves mood for instance, one will likely increase their banana intake. Due to the fact that this correlation is spurious, it is unlikely that you will see a continued and persistent corresponding increase in mood. So over time, the spurious correlation will naturally dissipate.

Specificity
Causation is likely if a very specific population at a specific site and disease with no other likely explanation. The more specific an association between a factor and an effect is, the bigger the probability of a causal relationship.

Temporality
The effect has to occur after the cause (and if there is an expected delay between the cause and expected effect, then the effect must occur after that delay). The confidence in a causal relationship is bolstered by the fact that time-precedence was taken into account in all calculations.

Biological Gradient
Greater exposure should generally lead to greater incidence of the effect. However, in some cases, the mere presence of the factor can trigger the effect. In other cases, an inverse proportion is observed: greater exposure leads to lower incidence.

Plausibility
A plausible bio-chemical mechanism between cause and effect is critical. This is where human brains excel. Based on our responses so far, 1 humans feel that there is a plausible mechanism of action and 0 feel that any relationship observed between Adderall Xr intake and Inspiration is coincidental.

Coherence
Coherence between epidemiological and laboratory findings increases the likelihood of an effect. It will be very enlightening to aggregate this data with the data from other participants with similar genetic, diseasomic, environmentomic, and demographic profiles.

Experiment
All of human life can be considered a natural experiment. Occasionally, it is possible to appeal to experimental evidence.

Analogy
The effect of similar factors may be considered.

Relationship Statistics

Property Value
Cause Variable Name Adderall Xr intake
Effect Variable Name Inspiration
Sinn Predictive Coefficient 0.0781
Confidence Level low
Confidence Interval 1.1080583260678
Forward Pearson Correlation Coefficient 0.564
Critical T Value 1.74
Total Adderall Xr intake Over Previous 7 days Before ABOVE Average Inspiration 124.09 milligrams
Total Adderall Xr intake Over Previous 7 days Before BELOW Average Inspiration 87.5 milligrams
Duration of Action 7 days
Effect Size moderately positive
Number of Paired Measurements 17
Optimal Pearson Product 0.49397420260108
P Value 0.10846470184607
Statistical Significance 0.0623
Strength of Relationship 1.1080583260678
Study Type individual
Analysis Performed At 2019-06-26

Adderall Xr Statistics

Property Value
Variable Name Adderall Xr
Aggregation Method SUM
Analysis Performed At 2019-06-25
Duration of Action 7 days
Kurtosis 3.3718413607187
Mean 8.9242 milligrams
Median 15 milligrams
Minimum Allowed Value 0 milligrams
Number of Changes 388
Number of Correlations 320
Number of Measurements 1460
Onset Delay 30 minutes
Standard Deviation 8.5451859025914
Unit Milligrams
UPC 852659365500
Variable ID 1256
Variance 73.020202109847

Inspiration Statistics

Property Value
Variable Name Inspiration
Aggregation Method MEAN
Analysis Performed At 2019-06-02
Duration of Action 24 hours
Kurtosis 8.84765625
Maximum Allowed Value 5 out of 5
Mean 4.5 out of 5
Median 5 out of 5
Minimum Allowed Value 1 out of 5
Number of Changes 6
Number of Correlations 377
Number of Measurements 19
Onset Delay 0 seconds
Standard Deviation 1.0327955589886
Unit 1 to 5 Rating
Variable ID 1355
Variance 1.0666666666667

Tracking Adderall Xr

Record your Adderall Xr daily in the reminder inbox or using the interactive web or mobile notifications.

Tracking Inspiration

Record your Inspiration daily in the reminder inbox or using the interactive web or mobile notifications.
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https://lh6.googleusercontent.com/-BHr4hyUWqZU/AAAAAAAAAAI/AAAAAAAIG28/2Lv0en738II/photo.jpg Principal Investigator - Mike Sinn