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This individual's Acne Severity is generally lowest after a daily total of 1 serving of Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink consumption over the previous 7 days.
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Blue represents the sum of Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink consumption over the previous 7 days
An increase in 7 days cumulative Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink consumption is usually followed by an decrease in Acne Severity. (R = -0.202)
Typical values for Acne Severity following a given amount of Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink consumption over the previous 7 days.
Typical Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink consumption seen over the previous 7 days preceding the given Acne Severity value.
This chart shows how your Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink changes over time.
Each column represents the number of days this value occurred.
This chart shows the typical value recorded for Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink on each day of the week.
This chart shows the typical value recorded for Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink for each month of the year.
This chart shows how your Acne Severity changes over time.
Each column represents the number of days this value occurred.
This chart shows the typical value recorded for Acne Severity on each day of the week.
This chart shows the typical value recorded for Acne Severity for each month of the year.

Abstract

This individual's Acne Severity is generally 11% lower than normal after 1 serving Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink per 7 days. This individual's data suggests with a medium degree of confidence (p=0.033660281202892, 95% CI -0.438 to 0.034) that Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink has a weakly negative predictive relationship (R=-0.2) with Acne Severity. The highest quartile of Acne Severity measurements were observed following an average 0 serving Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink per day. The lowest quartile of Acne Severity measurements were observed following an average 0.36363636363636 serving Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink per day.Acne Severity is generally 11% lower than normal after a total of 0.36363636363636 serving of Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink consumption over the previous 7 days. Acne Severity is generally 3% higher after a total of 0 serving of Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink consumption over the previous 7 days.

Objective

The objective of this study is to determine the nature of the relationship (if any) between Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink and Acne Severity. Additionally, we attempt to determine the Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink values most likely to produce optimal Acne Severity values.

Participant Instructions

Get MyFitnessPal here and use it to record your Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink. Once you have a MyFitnessPal account, you can import your data from the Import Data page. This individual's data will automatically be imported and analyzed.
Record your Acne Severity daily in the reminder inbox or using the interactive web or mobile notifications.

Design

This study is based on data donated by one participant. Thus, the study design is consistent with an n=1 observational natural experiment.

Data Analysis

Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink Pre-Processing
Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink measurement values below 0 serving were assumed erroneous and removed. Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink measurement values above 30 serving were assumed erroneous and removed. It was assumed that any gaps in Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink data were unrecorded 0 serving measurement values.
Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink Analysis Settings

Acne Severity Pre-Processing
Acne Severity measurement values below 1 out of 5 were assumed erroneous and removed. Acne Severity measurement values above 5 out of 5 were assumed erroneous and removed. No missing data filling value was defined for Acne Severity so any gaps in data were just not analyzed instead of assuming zero values for those times.
Acne Severity Analysis Settings

Predictive Analytics
It was assumed that 0.5 hours would pass before a change in Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink would produce an observable change in Acne Severity. It was assumed that Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink could produce an observable change in Acne Severity for as much as 7 days after the stimulus event.
Predictive Analysis Settings

Data Quantity
6 raw Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink measurements with 8 changes spanning 95 days from 2013-01-18 to 2013-04-23 were used in this analysis. 1297 raw Acne Severity measurements with 396 changes spanning 2271 days from 2013-01-12 to 2019-04-03 were used in this analysis.

Data Sources

Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink data was primarily collected using MyFitnessPal. Lose weight with MyFitnessPal, the fastest and easiest-to-use calorie counter for iPhone and iPad. With the largest food database of any iOS calorie counter (over 3,000,000 foods), and amazingly fast food and exercise entry.

Acne Severity data was primarily collected using QuantiModo. QuantiModo allows you to easily track mood, symptoms, or any outcome you want to optimize in a fraction of a second. You can also import your data from over 30 other apps and devices. QuantiModo then analyzes your data to identify which hidden factors are most likely to be influencing your mood or symptoms.

Limitations

As with any human experiment, it was impossible to control for all potentially confounding variables. Correlation does not necessarily imply causation. We can never know for sure if one factor is definitely the cause of an outcome. However, lack of correlation definitely implies the lack of a causal relationship. Hence, we can with great confidence rule out non-existent relationships. For instance, if we discover no relationship between mood and an antidepressant this information is just as or even more valuable than the discovery that there is a relationship.
We can also take advantage of several characteristics of time series data from many subjects to infer the likelihood of a causal relationship if we do find a correlational relationship. The criteria for causation are a group of minimal conditions necessary to provide adequate evidence of a causal relationship between an incidence and a possible consequence.

The list of the criteria is as follows:
Strength (A.K.A. Effect Size)
A small association does not mean that there is not a causal effect, though the larger the association, the more likely that it is causal. There is a weakly negative relationship between Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink consumption and Acne Severity

Consistency (A.K.A. Reproducibility)
Consistent findings observed by different persons in different places with different samples strengthens the likelihood of an effect. Furthermore, in accordance with the law of large numbers (LLN), the predictive power and accuracy of these results will continually grow over time. 33 paired data points were used in this analysis. Assuming that the relationship is merely coincidental, as the participant independently modifies their Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink consumption values, the observed strength of the relationship will decline until it is below the threshold of significance. To it another way, in the case that we do find a spurious correlation, suggesting that banana intake improves mood for instance, one will likely increase their banana intake. Due to the fact that this correlation is spurious, it is unlikely that you will see a continued and persistent corresponding increase in mood. So over time, the spurious correlation will naturally dissipate.

Specificity
Causation is likely if a very specific population at a specific site and disease with no other likely explanation. The more specific an association between a factor and an effect is, the bigger the probability of a causal relationship.

Temporality
The effect has to occur after the cause (and if there is an expected delay between the cause and expected effect, then the effect must occur after that delay). The confidence in a causal relationship is bolstered by the fact that time-precedence was taken into account in all calculations.

Biological Gradient
Greater exposure should generally lead to greater incidence of the effect. However, in some cases, the mere presence of the factor can trigger the effect. In other cases, an inverse proportion is observed: greater exposure leads to lower incidence.

Plausibility
A plausible bio-chemical mechanism between cause and effect is critical. This is where human brains excel. Based on our responses so far, 1 humans feel that there is a plausible mechanism of action and 0 feel that any relationship observed between Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink consumption and Acne Severity is coincidental.

Coherence
Coherence between epidemiological and laboratory findings increases the likelihood of an effect. It will be very enlightening to aggregate this data with the data from other participants with similar genetic, diseasomic, environmentomic, and demographic profiles.

Experiment
All of human life can be considered a natural experiment. Occasionally, it is possible to appeal to experimental evidence.

Analogy
The effect of similar factors may be considered.

Relationship Statistics

Property Value
Cause Variable Name Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink consumption
Effect Variable Name Acne Severity
Sinn Predictive Coefficient 0.0079
Confidence Level medium
Confidence Interval 0.23639483307368
Forward Pearson Correlation Coefficient -0.202
Critical T Value 1.684
Total Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink consumption Over Previous 7 days Before ABOVE Average Acne Severity 0 serving
Total Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink consumption Over Previous 7 days Before BELOW Average Acne Severity 0.364 serving
Duration of Action 7 days
Effect Size weakly negative
Number of Paired Measurements 33
Optimal Pearson Product 0.14635575903368
P Value 0.033660281202892
Statistical Significance 0.0141
Strength of Relationship 0.23639483307368
Study Type individual
Analysis Performed At 2019-04-04

Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink Statistics

Property Value
Variable Name Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink
Aggregation Method SUM
Analysis Performed At 2019-03-27
Duration of Action 7 days
Kurtosis 19.895743145743
Maximum Allowed Value 30 serving
Mean 0.045455 serving
Median 0 serving
Minimum Allowed Value 0 serving
Number of Changes 8
Number of Correlations 43
Number of Measurements 6
Onset Delay 30 minutes
Standard Deviation 0.20909241769965
Unit Serving
Variable ID 1650
Variance 0.043719639139487

Acne Severity Statistics

Property Value
Variable Name Acne Severity
Aggregation Method MEAN
Analysis Performed At 2019-04-05
Duration of Action 7 days
Kurtosis 2.8229889482101
Maximum Allowed Value 5 out of 5
Mean 1.9571 out of 5
Median 2 out of 5
Minimum Allowed Value 1 out of 5
Number of Changes 396
Number of Correlations 2266
Number of Measurements 1297
Onset Delay 0 seconds
Standard Deviation 0.74609946573708
Unit 1 to 5 Rating
UPC 837654497159
Variable ID 1251
Variance 0.55666441277315

Tracking Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink

Get MyFitnessPal here and use it to record your Advantedge Carb Control French Vanilla Protein Drink. Once you have a MyFitnessPal account, you can import your data from the Import Data page. This individual's data will automatically be imported and analyzed.

Tracking Acne Severity

Record your Acne Severity daily in the reminder inbox or using the interactive web or mobile notifications.
Join This Study

https://lh6.googleusercontent.com/-BHr4hyUWqZU/AAAAAAAAAAI/AAAAAAAIG28/2Lv0en738II/photo.jpg Principal Investigator - Mike Sinn