This individual's Memory Score From Lumosity is generally highest after an average of 0.71 tablets of B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C over the previous 7 days.
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Blue represents the mean of B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C over the previous 7 days
An increase in 7 days cumulative B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C is usually followed by an increase in Memory Score From Lumosity. (R = 0.789)
Typical values for Memory Score From Lumosity following a given amount of B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C over the previous 7 days.
Typical B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C seen over the previous 7 days preceding the given Memory Score From Lumosity value.
Correlation between outcome and aggregated predictor measurements over given number of days
Peak correlation suggests the delay between predictor and observable outcome
This chart shows how your B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C changes over time.
Each column represents the number of days this value occurred.
This chart shows the typical value recorded for B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C on each day of the week.
This chart shows the typical value recorded for B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C for each month of the year.
This chart shows how your Memory Score From Lumosity changes over time.
Each column represents the number of days this value occurred.
This chart shows the typical value recorded for Memory Score From Lumosity on each day of the week.
This chart shows the typical value recorded for Memory Score From Lumosity for each month of the year.

Abstract

This individual's Memory Score From Lumosity is generally 3% higher than normal after an average of 0.7143 tablets B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C over the previous 7 days. This individual's data suggests with a high degree of confidence (p=5.6826668568935E-5, 95% CI -22.541 to 24.119) that B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C has a strongly positive predictive relationship (R=0.79) with Memory Score From Lumosity. The highest quartile of Memory Score From Lumosity measurements were observed following an average 0.69 tablets B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C. The lowest quartile of Memory Score From Lumosity measurements were observed following an average 0.25714285714286 tablets B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C.Memory Score From Lumosity is generally 2% lower than normal after an average of 0.25714285714286 tablets of B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C over the previous 7 days. Memory Score From Lumosity is generally 3% higher after an average of 0.69 tablets of B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C over the previous 7 days.

Objective

The objective of this study is to determine the nature of the relationship (if any) between B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C and Memory Score From Lumosity. Additionally, we attempt to determine the B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C values most likely to produce optimal Memory Score From Lumosity values.

Participant Instructions

Record your B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C daily in the reminder inbox or using the interactive web or mobile notifications.
Record your Memory Score From Lumosity daily in the reminder inbox or using the interactive web or mobile notifications.

Design

This study is based on data donated by one participant. Thus, the study design is consistent with an n=1 observational natural experiment.

Data Analysis

B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C Pre-Processing
B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C measurement values below 0 tablets were assumed erroneous and removed. B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C measurement values above 20 tablets were assumed erroneous and removed. It was assumed that any gaps in B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C data were unrecorded 0 tablets measurement values.
B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C Analysis Settings

Memory Score From Lumosity Pre-Processing
Memory Score From Lumosity measurement values below 0 index were assumed erroneous and removed. No maximum allowed measurement value was defined for Memory Score From Lumosity. No missing data filling value was defined for Memory Score From Lumosity so any gaps in data were just not analyzed instead of assuming zero values for those times.
Memory Score From Lumosity Analysis Settings

Predictive Analytics
It was assumed that 0.5 hours would pass before a change in B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C would produce an observable change in Memory Score From Lumosity. It was assumed that B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C could produce an observable change in Memory Score From Lumosity for as much as 7 days after the stimulus event.
Predictive Analysis Settings

Data Quantity
166 raw B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C measurements with 42 changes spanning 291 days from 2012-07-04 to 2013-04-21 were used in this analysis. 45 raw Memory Score From Lumosity measurements with 40 changes spanning 348 days from 2012-04-15 to 2013-03-29 were used in this analysis.

Data Sources

B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C data was primarily collected using QuantiModo. QuantiModo allows you to easily track mood, symptoms, or any outcome you want to optimize in a fraction of a second. You can also import your data from over 30 other apps and devices. QuantiModo then analyzes your data to identify which hidden factors are most likely to be influencing your mood or symptoms.

Memory Score From Lumosity data was primarily collected using QuantiModo. QuantiModo allows you to easily track mood, symptoms, or any outcome you want to optimize in a fraction of a second. You can also import your data from over 30 other apps and devices. QuantiModo then analyzes your data to identify which hidden factors are most likely to be influencing your mood or symptoms.

Limitations

As with any human experiment, it was impossible to control for all potentially confounding variables. Correlation does not necessarily imply causation. We can never know for sure if one factor is definitely the cause of an outcome. However, lack of correlation definitely implies the lack of a causal relationship. Hence, we can with great confidence rule out non-existent relationships. For instance, if we discover no relationship between mood and an antidepressant this information is just as or even more valuable than the discovery that there is a relationship.
We can also take advantage of several characteristics of time series data from many subjects to infer the likelihood of a causal relationship if we do find a correlational relationship. The criteria for causation are a group of minimal conditions necessary to provide adequate evidence of a causal relationship between an incidence and a possible consequence.

The list of the criteria is as follows:
Strength (A.K.A. Effect Size)
A small association does not mean that there is not a causal effect, though the larger the association, the more likely that it is causal. There is a strongly positive relationship between B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C and Memory Score From Lumosity

Consistency (A.K.A. Reproducibility)
Consistent findings observed by different persons in different places with different samples strengthens the likelihood of an effect. Furthermore, in accordance with the law of large numbers (LLN), the predictive power and accuracy of these results will continually grow over time. 17 paired data points were used in this analysis. Assuming that the relationship is merely coincidental, as the participant independently modifies their B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C values, the observed strength of the relationship will decline until it is below the threshold of significance. To it another way, in the case that we do find a spurious correlation, suggesting that banana intake improves mood for instance, one will likely increase their banana intake. Due to the fact that this correlation is spurious, it is unlikely that you will see a continued and persistent corresponding increase in mood. So over time, the spurious correlation will naturally dissipate.

Specificity
Causation is likely if a very specific population at a specific site and disease with no other likely explanation. The more specific an association between a factor and an effect is, the bigger the probability of a causal relationship.

Temporality
The effect has to occur after the cause (and if there is an expected delay between the cause and expected effect, then the effect must occur after that delay). The confidence in a causal relationship is bolstered by the fact that time-precedence was taken into account in all calculations.

Biological Gradient
Greater exposure should generally lead to greater incidence of the effect. However, in some cases, the mere presence of the factor can trigger the effect. In other cases, an inverse proportion is observed: greater exposure leads to lower incidence.

Plausibility
A plausible bio-chemical mechanism between cause and effect is critical. This is where human brains excel. Based on our responses so far, 1 humans feel that there is a plausible mechanism of action and 0 feel that any relationship observed between B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C and Memory Score From Lumosity is coincidental.

Coherence
Coherence between epidemiological and laboratory findings increases the likelihood of an effect. It will be very enlightening to aggregate this data with the data from other participants with similar genetic, diseasomic, environmentomic, and demographic profiles.

Experiment
All of human life can be considered a natural experiment. Occasionally, it is possible to appeal to experimental evidence.

Analogy
The effect of similar factors may be considered.

Relationship Statistics

Property Value
Cause Variable Name B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C
Effect Variable Name Memory Score From Lumosity
Sinn Predictive Coefficient 0.0807
Confidence Level high
Confidence Interval 23.330061707288
Forward Pearson Correlation Coefficient 0.789
Critical T Value 1.74
Average B- Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C Over Previous 7 days Before ABOVE Average Memory Score From Lumosity 0.69 tablets
Average B- Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C Over Previous 7 days Before BELOW Average Memory Score From Lumosity 0.257 tablets
Duration of Action 7 days
Effect Size strongly positive
Number of Paired Measurements 17
Optimal Pearson Product 0.77512064314679
P Value 5.6826668568935E-5
Statistical Significance 0.0783
Strength of Relationship 23.330061707288
Study Type individual
Analysis Performed At 2019-06-27

B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C Statistics

Property Value
Variable Name B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C
Aggregation Method MEAN
Analysis Performed At 2018-12-22
Duration of Action 7 days
Kurtosis 12.759033606427
Maximum Allowed Value 20 tablets
Mean 0.068067 tablets
Median 0 tablets
Minimum Allowed Value 0 tablets
Number of Changes 42
Number of Correlations 45
Number of Measurements 166
Onset Delay 30 minutes
Standard Deviation 0.25191415937218
Unit Tablets
UPC 700064847060
Variable ID 1268
Variance 0.06346074369219

Memory Score From Lumosity Statistics

Property Value
Variable Name Memory Score From Lumosity
Aggregation Method MEAN
Analysis Performed At 2019-01-28
Duration of Action 24 hours
Kurtosis 3.6409569883467
Mean 1096.6 index
Median 1131 index
Minimum Allowed Value 0 index
Number of Changes 40
Number of Correlations 90
Number of Measurements 45
Onset Delay 0 seconds
Standard Deviation 118.00779806454
Unit Index
Variable ID 1374
Variance 13925.84040404

Tracking B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C

Record your B-Complex With Folic Acid Plus Vitamin C daily in the reminder inbox or using the interactive web or mobile notifications.

Tracking Memory Score From Lumosity

Record your Memory Score From Lumosity daily in the reminder inbox or using the interactive web or mobile notifications.
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https://lh6.googleusercontent.com/-BHr4hyUWqZU/AAAAAAAAAAI/AAAAAAAIG28/2Lv0en738II/photo.jpg Principal Investigator - Mike Sinn