This individual's Overall Mood is generally 3.7% higher after 1 count Magnesium Citrate By Now over the previous 7 days.
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Blue represents the sum of Magnesium Citrate By Now over the previous 7 days
An increase in 7 days cumulative Magnesium Citrate By Now is usually followed by an increase in Overall Mood. (R = 0.066)
Typical values for Overall Mood following a given amount of Magnesium Citrate By Now over the previous 7 days.
Typical Magnesium Citrate By Now seen over the previous 7 days preceding the given Overall Mood value.
Correlation between outcome and aggregated predictor measurements over given number of days
Peak correlation suggests the delay between predictor and observable outcome
This chart shows how Magnesium Citrate By Now changes over time.
Each column represents the number of days this value occurred.
This chart shows the typical value recorded for Magnesium Citrate By Now on each day of the week.
This chart shows the typical value recorded for Magnesium Citrate By Now for each month of the year.
This chart shows how Overall Mood changes over time.
Each column represents the number of days this value occurred.
This chart shows the typical value recorded for Overall Mood on each day of the week.
This chart shows the typical value recorded for Overall Mood for each month of the year.

Abstract

This individual's Overall Mood is generally 1% higher than normal after an average of 1 count Magnesium Citrate By Now over the previous 7 days. This individual's data suggests with a low degree of confidence (p=0.30845074335241, 95% CI -0.198 to 0.33) that Magnesium Citrate By Now (count) has a very weakly positive predictive relationship (R=0.07) with Overall Mood. The highest quartile of Overall Mood measurements were observed following an average 0.97 count Magnesium Citrate By Now (count). The lowest quartile of Overall Mood measurements were observed following an average 0.89020146520147 count Magnesium Citrate By Now (count). Overall Mood is generally 2% lower than normal after an average of 0.89020146520147 count of Magnesium Citrate By Now over the previous 7 days. Overall Mood is generally 1% higher after an average of 0.97 count of Magnesium Citrate By Now over the previous 7 days.

Objective

The objective of this study is to determine the nature of the relationship (if any) between Magnesium Citrate By Now and Overall Mood. Additionally, we attempt to determine the Magnesium Citrate By Now (count) values most likely to produce optimal Overall Mood values.

Participant Instructions

Record your Magnesium Citrate By Now daily in the reminder inbox or using the interactive web or mobile notifications.
Record your Overall Mood daily in the reminder inbox or using the interactive web or mobile notifications.

Design

This study is based on data donated by one participant. Thus, the study design is consistent with an n=1 observational natural experiment.

Data Analysis

Magnesium Citrate By Now Pre-Processing
Magnesium Citrate By Now measurement values below 0 count were assumed erroneous and removed. No maximum allowed measurement value was defined for Magnesium Citrate By Now. It was assumed that any gaps in Magnesium Citrate By Now data were unrecorded 0 count measurement values.
Magnesium Citrate By Now Analysis Settings

Overall Mood Pre-Processing
Overall Mood measurement values below 1 out of 5 were assumed erroneous and removed. Overall Mood measurement values above 5 out of 5 were assumed erroneous and removed. No missing data filling value was defined for Overall Mood so any gaps in data were just not analyzed instead of assuming zero values for those times.
Overall Mood Analysis Settings

Predictive Analytics
It was assumed that 0.5 hours would pass before a change in Magnesium Citrate By Now (count) would produce an observable change in Overall Mood. It was assumed that Magnesium Citrate By Now (count) could produce an observable change in Overall Mood for as much as 7 days after the stimulus event.
Predictive Analysis Settings

Data Quantity
44 raw Magnesium Citrate By Now (count) measurements with 2 changes spanning 30 days from 2015-04-30 to 2015-05-30 were used in this analysis. 14188 raw Overall Mood measurements with 1275 changes spanning 2667 days from 2012-05-06 to 2019-08-24 were used in this analysis.

Statistical Significance

Using a two-tailed t-test with alpha = 0.05, it was determined that the change in Overall Mood is not statistically significant at a 95% confidence interval. This suggests that the Magnesium Citrate By Now (count) value does not have a significant influence on the Overall Mood value.After treatment, a 3.7% increase (0.11240521849766 out of 5) from the mean baseline 3.0256846328275 out of 5 was observed. The relative standard deviation at baseline was 5.6%. The observed change was 0.65945708943298 times the standard deviation. A common rule of thumb considers a change greater than twice the baseline standard deviation on two separate pre-post experiments may be considered significant. This occurrence would may have only a 5% likelihood of resulting from random fluctuation (a p-value

Data Sources

Magnesium Citrate By Now (count) data was primarily collected using QuantiModo. QuantiModo allows you to easily track mood, symptoms, or any outcome you want to optimize in a fraction of a second. You can also import your data from over 30 other apps and devices. QuantiModo then analyzes your data to identify which hidden factors are most likely to be influencing your mood or symptoms.

Overall Mood data was primarily collected using QuantiModo. QuantiModo allows you to easily track mood, symptoms, or any outcome you want to optimize in a fraction of a second. You can also import your data from over 30 other apps and devices. QuantiModo then analyzes your data to identify which hidden factors are most likely to be influencing your mood or symptoms.

Limitations

As with any human experiment, it was impossible to control for all potentially confounding variables. Correlation does not necessarily imply causation. We can never know for sure if one factor is definitely the cause of an outcome. However, lack of correlation definitely implies the lack of a causal relationship. Hence, we can with great confidence rule out non-existent relationships. For instance, if we discover no relationship between mood and an antidepressant this information is just as or even more valuable than the discovery that there is a relationship.
We can also take advantage of several characteristics of time series data from many subjects to infer the likelihood of a causal relationship if we do find a correlational relationship. The criteria for causation are a group of minimal conditions necessary to provide adequate evidence of a causal relationship between an incidence and a possible consequence.

The list of the criteria is as follows:
Strength (A.K.A. Effect Size)
A small association does not mean that there is not a causal effect, though the larger the association, the more likely that it is causal. There is a very weakly positive relationship between Magnesium Citrate By Now and Overall Mood

Consistency (A.K.A. Reproducibility)
Consistent findings observed by different persons in different places with different samples strengthens the likelihood of an effect. Furthermore, in accordance with the law of large numbers (LLN), the predictive power and accuracy of these results will continually grow over time. 35 paired data points were used in this analysis. Assuming that the relationship is merely coincidental, as the participant independently modifies their Magnesium Citrate By Now values, the observed strength of the relationship will decline until it is below the threshold of significance. To it another way, in the case that we do find a spurious correlation, suggesting that banana intake improves mood for instance, one will likely increase their banana intake. Due to the fact that this correlation is spurious, it is unlikely that you will see a continued and persistent corresponding increase in mood. So over time, the spurious correlation will naturally dissipate.

Specificity
Causation is likely if a very specific population at a specific site and disease with no other likely explanation. The more specific an association between a factor and an effect is, the bigger the probability of a causal relationship.

Temporality
The effect has to occur after the cause (and if there is an expected delay between the cause and expected effect, then the effect must occur after that delay). The confidence in a causal relationship is bolstered by the fact that time-precedence was taken into account in all calculations.

Biological Gradient
Greater exposure should generally lead to greater incidence of the effect. However, in some cases, the mere presence of the factor can trigger the effect. In other cases, an inverse proportion is observed: greater exposure leads to lower incidence.

Plausibility
A plausible bio-chemical mechanism between cause and effect is critical. This is where human brains excel. Based on our responses so far, 1 humans feel that there is a plausible mechanism of action and 0 feel that any relationship observed between Magnesium Citrate By Now and Overall Mood is coincidental.

Coherence
Coherence between epidemiological and laboratory findings increases the likelihood of an effect. It will be very enlightening to aggregate this data with the data from other participants with similar genetic, diseasomic, environmentomic, and demographic profiles.

Experiment
All of human life can be considered a natural experiment. Occasionally, it is possible to appeal to experimental evidence.

Analogy
The effect of similar factors may be considered.

Relationship Statistics

Property Value
Cause Variable Name Magnesium Citrate By Now
Effect Variable Name Overall Mood
Sinn Predictive Coefficient 0.005
Confidence Level low
Confidence Interval 0.26389551278178
Forward Pearson Predictive Coefficient 0.066
Critical T Value 1.684
Average Magnesium Citrate By Now Over Previous 7 days Before ABOVE Average Overall Mood 0.97 count
Average Magnesium Citrate By Now Over Previous 7 days Before BELOW Average Overall Mood 0.89 count
Duration of Action 7 days
Effect Size very weakly positive
Number of Paired Measurements 35
Optimal Pearson Product 0.028414219524191
P Value 0.30845074335241
Statistical Significance 0.0967
Strength of Relationship 0.26389551278178
Study Type individual
Analysis Performed At 2019-07-17
Number of Pairs 35
Number of Raw Predictor Measurements ( Including Tags, Joins, and Children) 44
Baseline Relative Standard Deviation of Outcome Measurements 5.6
Experiment Duration (days) 38
Number of Raw Outcome Measurements 14053
Z Score 0.65945708943298
Last Analysis 2019-07-17
Experiment Began 2015-04-30 06:00:00
Experiment Ended 2015-06-07 06:30:00
P Value 0.30845074335241
Predictor Category Treatments
Duration of Action (h) 168
Onset Delay (h) 0.5
Significance 0.0967
Outcome Relative Standard Deviation at Baseline 5.6
Outcome Standard Deviation at Baseline 0.17045114882957/5
Outcome Mean at Baseline 3.0256846328275/5
Average Followup Change From Baseline 3.7&
Average Absolute Followup Change From Baseline 3.1380898513251/5
Z- Score 0.65945708943298
Average Predictor Treatment Value 1count over 7 days

Magnesium Citrate By Now Statistics

Property Value
Variable Name Magnesium Citrate By Now (count)
Aggregation Method SUM
Analysis Performed At 2019-08-14
Duration of Action 7 days
Kurtosis 28.096774193548
Mean 0.98387 count
Median 1 count
Minimum Allowed Value 0 count
Number of Changes 2
Number of Correlations 33
Number of Measurements 44
Onset Delay 30 minutes
Standard Deviation 0.089802651013387
Unit Count
UPC 885721321555
Variable ID 5951883
Variance 0.0080645161290323

Overall Mood Statistics

Property Value
Variable Name Overall Mood
Aggregation Method MEAN
Analysis Performed At 2019-08-24
Duration of Action 24 hours
Kurtosis 6.8567678535043
Maximum Allowed Value 5 out of 5
Mean 2.9063 out of 5
Median 3 out of 5
Minimum Allowed Value 1 out of 5
Number of Changes 1275
Number of Correlations 4592
Number of Measurements 14188
Onset Delay 0 seconds
Standard Deviation 0.52114513969638
Unit 1 to 5 Rating
UPC 767674073845
Variable ID 1398
Variance 0.27159225662916

Tracking Magnesium Citrate By Now

Record your Magnesium Citrate By Now daily in the reminder inbox or using the interactive web or mobile notifications.

Tracking Overall Mood

Record your Overall Mood daily in the reminder inbox or using the interactive web or mobile notifications.
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https://lh6.googleusercontent.com/-BHr4hyUWqZU/AAAAAAAAAAI/AAAAAAAIG28/2Lv0en738II/photo.jpg Principal Investigator - Mike Sinn