This individual's Overall Mood is generally highest after a daily total of 0 serving of Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular consumption over the previous 7 days.


Abstract
This individual's Overall Mood is generally 2% higher than normal after a total of 0 serving Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular consumption over the previous 7 days. This individual's data suggests with a low degree of confidence (p=0.13342221165622, 95% CI 0.347 to 0.145) that Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular has a weakly negative predictive relationship (R=0.1) with Overall Mood. The highest quartile of Overall Mood measurements were observed following an average 0.24 serving Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular per day. The lowest quartile of Overall Mood measurements were observed following an average 0.35555555555556 serving Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular per day.Overall Mood is generally 4% lower than normal after a total of 0.35555555555556 serving of Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular consumption over the previous 7 days. Overall Mood is generally 2% higher after a total of 0.24 serving of Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular consumption over the previous 7 days.
Objective
The objective of this study is to determine the nature of the relationship (if any) between Vanilla Milk Shake and Overall Mood. Additionally, we attempt to determine the Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular values most likely to produce optimal Overall Mood values.
Participant Instructions
Get MyFitnessPal here and use it to record your Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular. Once you have a MyFitnessPal account, you can import your data from the Import Data page. This individual's data will automatically be imported and analyzed.
Record your Overall Mood daily in the reminder inbox or using the interactive web or mobile notifications.
Record your Overall Mood daily in the reminder inbox or using the interactive web or mobile notifications.
Design
This study is based on data donated by one participant. Thus, the study design is consistent with an n=1 observational natural experiment.
Data Analysis
Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular PreProcessing
Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular measurement values below 0 serving were assumed erroneous and removed. Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular measurement values above 30 serving were assumed erroneous and removed. It was assumed that any gaps in Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular data were unrecorded 0 serving measurement values.
Overall Mood PreProcessing
Overall Mood measurement values below 1 out of 5 were assumed erroneous and removed. Overall Mood measurement values above 5 out of 5 were assumed erroneous and removed. No missing data filling value was defined for Overall Mood so any gaps in data were just not analyzed instead of assuming zero values for those times.
Predictive Analytics
It was assumed that 0.5 hours would pass before a change in Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular would produce an observable change in Overall Mood. It was assumed that Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular could produce an observable change in Overall Mood for as much as 7 days after the stimulus event.
Data Quantity
4 raw Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular measurements with 8 changes spanning 35 days from 20130131 to 20130307 were used in this analysis. 13980 raw Overall Mood measurements with 1242 changes spanning 2609 days from 20120506 to 20190627 were used in this analysis.
Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular measurement values below 0 serving were assumed erroneous and removed. Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular measurement values above 30 serving were assumed erroneous and removed. It was assumed that any gaps in Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular data were unrecorded 0 serving measurement values.

Overall Mood PreProcessing
Overall Mood measurement values below 1 out of 5 were assumed erroneous and removed. Overall Mood measurement values above 5 out of 5 were assumed erroneous and removed. No missing data filling value was defined for Overall Mood so any gaps in data were just not analyzed instead of assuming zero values for those times.

Predictive Analytics
It was assumed that 0.5 hours would pass before a change in Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular would produce an observable change in Overall Mood. It was assumed that Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular could produce an observable change in Overall Mood for as much as 7 days after the stimulus event.

Data Quantity
4 raw Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular measurements with 8 changes spanning 35 days from 20130131 to 20130307 were used in this analysis. 13980 raw Overall Mood measurements with 1242 changes spanning 2609 days from 20120506 to 20190627 were used in this analysis.
Data Sources
Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular data was primarily collected using MyFitnessPal. Lose weight with MyFitnessPal, the fastest and easiesttouse calorie counter for iPhone and iPad. With the largest food database of any iOS calorie counter (over 3,000,000 foods), and amazingly fast food and exercise entry.
Overall Mood data was primarily collected using QuantiModo. QuantiModo allows you to easily track mood, symptoms, or any outcome you want to optimize in a fraction of a second. You can also import your data from over 30 other apps and devices. QuantiModo then analyzes your data to identify which hidden factors are most likely to be influencing your mood or symptoms.
Overall Mood data was primarily collected using QuantiModo. QuantiModo allows you to easily track mood, symptoms, or any outcome you want to optimize in a fraction of a second. You can also import your data from over 30 other apps and devices. QuantiModo then analyzes your data to identify which hidden factors are most likely to be influencing your mood or symptoms.
Limitations
As with any human experiment, it was impossible to control for all potentially confounding variables. Correlation does not necessarily imply causation. We can never know for sure if one factor is definitely the cause of an outcome. However, lack of correlation definitely implies the lack of a causal relationship. Hence, we can with great confidence rule out nonexistent relationships. For instance, if we discover no relationship between mood and an antidepressant this information is just as or even more valuable than the discovery that there is a relationship.
We can also take advantage of several characteristics of time series data from many subjects to infer the likelihood of a causal relationship if we do find a correlational relationship. The criteria for causation are a group of minimal conditions necessary to provide adequate evidence of a causal relationship between an incidence and a possible consequence.
The list of the criteria is as follows:
Strength (A.K.A. Effect Size)
A small association does not mean that there is not a causal effect, though the larger the association, the more likely that it is causal. There is a weakly negative relationship between Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular consumption and Overall Mood
Consistency (A.K.A. Reproducibility)
Consistent findings observed by different persons in different places with different samples strengthens the likelihood of an effect. Furthermore, in accordance with the law of large numbers (LLN), the predictive power and accuracy of these results will continually grow over time. 95 paired data points were used in this analysis. Assuming that the relationship is merely coincidental, as the participant independently modifies their Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular consumption values, the observed strength of the relationship will decline until it is below the threshold of significance. To it another way, in the case that we do find a spurious correlation, suggesting that banana intake improves mood for instance, one will likely increase their banana intake. Due to the fact that this correlation is spurious, it is unlikely that you will see a continued and persistent corresponding increase in mood. So over time, the spurious correlation will naturally dissipate.
Specificity
Causation is likely if a very specific population at a specific site and disease with no other likely explanation. The more specific an association between a factor and an effect is, the bigger the probability of a causal relationship.
Temporality
The effect has to occur after the cause (and if there is an expected delay between the cause and expected effect, then the effect must occur after that delay). The confidence in a causal relationship is bolstered by the fact that timeprecedence was taken into account in all calculations.
Biological Gradient
Greater exposure should generally lead to greater incidence of the effect. However, in some cases, the mere presence of the factor can trigger the effect. In other cases, an inverse proportion is observed: greater exposure leads to lower incidence.
Plausibility
A plausible biochemical mechanism between cause and effect is critical. This is where human brains excel. Based on our responses so far, 1 humans feel that there is a plausible mechanism of action and 0 feel that any relationship observed between Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular consumption and Overall Mood is coincidental.
Coherence
Coherence between epidemiological and laboratory findings increases the likelihood of an effect. It will be very enlightening to aggregate this data with the data from other participants with similar genetic, diseasomic, environmentomic, and demographic profiles.
Experiment
All of human life can be considered a natural experiment. Occasionally, it is possible to appeal to experimental evidence.
Analogy
The effect of similar factors may be considered.
We can also take advantage of several characteristics of time series data from many subjects to infer the likelihood of a causal relationship if we do find a correlational relationship. The criteria for causation are a group of minimal conditions necessary to provide adequate evidence of a causal relationship between an incidence and a possible consequence.
The list of the criteria is as follows:
Strength (A.K.A. Effect Size)
A small association does not mean that there is not a causal effect, though the larger the association, the more likely that it is causal. There is a weakly negative relationship between Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular consumption and Overall Mood
Consistency (A.K.A. Reproducibility)
Consistent findings observed by different persons in different places with different samples strengthens the likelihood of an effect. Furthermore, in accordance with the law of large numbers (LLN), the predictive power and accuracy of these results will continually grow over time. 95 paired data points were used in this analysis. Assuming that the relationship is merely coincidental, as the participant independently modifies their Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular consumption values, the observed strength of the relationship will decline until it is below the threshold of significance. To it another way, in the case that we do find a spurious correlation, suggesting that banana intake improves mood for instance, one will likely increase their banana intake. Due to the fact that this correlation is spurious, it is unlikely that you will see a continued and persistent corresponding increase in mood. So over time, the spurious correlation will naturally dissipate.
Specificity
Causation is likely if a very specific population at a specific site and disease with no other likely explanation. The more specific an association between a factor and an effect is, the bigger the probability of a causal relationship.
Temporality
The effect has to occur after the cause (and if there is an expected delay between the cause and expected effect, then the effect must occur after that delay). The confidence in a causal relationship is bolstered by the fact that timeprecedence was taken into account in all calculations.
Biological Gradient
Greater exposure should generally lead to greater incidence of the effect. However, in some cases, the mere presence of the factor can trigger the effect. In other cases, an inverse proportion is observed: greater exposure leads to lower incidence.
Plausibility
A plausible biochemical mechanism between cause and effect is critical. This is where human brains excel. Based on our responses so far, 1 humans feel that there is a plausible mechanism of action and 0 feel that any relationship observed between Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular consumption and Overall Mood is coincidental.
Coherence
Coherence between epidemiological and laboratory findings increases the likelihood of an effect. It will be very enlightening to aggregate this data with the data from other participants with similar genetic, diseasomic, environmentomic, and demographic profiles.
Experiment
All of human life can be considered a natural experiment. Occasionally, it is possible to appeal to experimental evidence.
Analogy
The effect of similar factors may be considered.
Relationship Statistics
Property  Value 

Cause Variable Name  Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular consumption 
Effect Variable Name  Overall Mood 
Sinn Predictive Coefficient  0.0183 
Confidence Level  low 
Confidence Interval  0.24645611158754 
Forward Pearson Correlation Coefficient  0.101 
Critical T Value  1.66 
Total Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular consumption Over Previous 7 days Before ABOVE Average Overall Mood  0.24 serving 
Total Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular consumption Over Previous 7 days Before BELOW Average Overall Mood  0.356 serving 
Duration of Action  7 days 
Effect Size  weakly negative 
Number of Paired Measurements  95 
Optimal Pearson Product  0.022300248713375 
P Value  0.13342221165622 
Statistical Significance  0.0207 
Strength of Relationship  0.24645611158754 
Study Type  individual 
Analysis Performed At  20190628 
Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular Statistics
Property  Value 

Variable Name  Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular 
Aggregation Method  SUM 
Analysis Performed At  20190327 
Duration of Action  7 days 
Kurtosis  19.072331154684 
Maximum Allowed Value  30 serving 
Mean  0.047059 serving 
Median  0 serving 
Minimum Allowed Value  0 serving 
Number of Changes  8 
Number of Correlations  39 
Number of Measurements  4 
Onset Delay  30 minutes 
Standard Deviation  0.21302148074902 
Unit  Serving 
Variable ID  1680 
Variance  0.045378151260504 
Overall Mood Statistics
Property  Value 

Variable Name  Overall Mood 
Aggregation Method  MEAN 
Analysis Performed At  20190628 
Duration of Action  24 hours 
Kurtosis  6.8362298874825 
Maximum Allowed Value  5 out of 5 
Mean  2.9081 out of 5 
Median  3 out of 5 
Minimum Allowed Value  1 out of 5 
Number of Changes  1242 
Number of Correlations  4028 
Number of Measurements  13980 
Onset Delay  0 seconds 
Standard Deviation  0.52351955717749 
Unit  1 to 5 Rating 
UPC  767674073845 
Variable ID  1398 
Variance  0.27407272674732 
Tracking Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular
Get MyFitnessPal here and use it to record your Vanilla Milk Shake  Regular. Once you have a MyFitnessPal account, you can import your data from the Import Data page. This individual's data will automatically be imported and analyzed.Tracking Overall Mood
Record your Overall Mood daily in the reminder inbox or using the interactive web or mobile notifications.

Principal Investigator  Mike Sinn